To produce an integrated assessment tool to assess adaptation and migration in deltas

WP Lead: University of Southampton, Robert Nicholls & Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Munsur Rahman

WP5 will develop methods to assess adaptation choices in deltas with a strong focus on migration. It will integrate the results of WP2, WP3 & WP4 to analyse and provide assessment methods and modelling tools (for policy analysis in WP6) which consider the bio-physical, economic and socio-economic drivers of migration, the potential migration fluxes of men and women, potential trapped populations. It will also assess the success of other autonomous and planned adaptation processes and decisions (WP6), and how this influences migration choices. As such these integrated assessment methods can be utilised to conceptualise and investigate potential future migration of men and women under climate change and other factors, including a range of adaptation policy choices. This will support better analysis of adaptation choices in deltas. In particular, WP5 offers two main innovations: i) The development of an integrated assessment and model approach valid across a range of deltas; and ii) Inter-comparison between and across the selected deltas to identify generic and bespoke characteristics of deltas, which can be linked to the transferability of the research to other deltas.

Work Tasks:

5.1 A preliminary conceptual framework for assessing adaptation and migration in deltas

5.2 Finalised conceptual framework for assessing adaptation and migration in deltas

5.3 Design and validate a prototype integrated assessment tool for adaptation and migration in deltas

5.4 Develop delta-specific integrated assessment tools

5.5 Generic lessons for integrated modelling and adaptation and migration analysis

<- Work Package 4 ———————————————— Work Package 6 ->

WP5 Staff:

Name	Institute	Country
Prof. Robert Nicholls	University of Southampton	Northern (UK)
Dr. Attila Lazar	University of Southampton	Northern (UK)
Andres Payo	University of Southampton	Northern (UK)
Dr. Sugata Hazra	Jadavpur University	India
Dr. Anirban Mukhopadhyay	Jadavpur University	India
Professor Md. Munsur Rahman	BUET	Bangladesh
Prof. Mashfiques Salehin	BUET	Bangladesh
Prof. Rezaur Rahman	BUET	Bangladesh
Prof. Anisul Haque	BUET	Bangladesh
Dr. Barnabas Amisigo	Water Research Institute	Ghana
Prof. Samuel Nii Ardey Codjoe	University of Ghana	Ghana
Dr. Cynthia Addoquaye Tagoe	University of Ghana	Ghana
Prof. Ofori-Danson Patrick Kwabena	University of Ghana	Ghana
Dr. Kwasi Appeaning Addo	University of Ghana	Ghana
Mrs. Francisca Martey	Ghana Meteorological Agency	Ghana
Dr. Prince Osei-Wusu Adjei	Kwame Nkrumah University of Science & Technology (KNUST)	Ghana
Dr. Joseph Kwadwo Asenso	Ministry of Finance	Ghana
Dr. Benjamin Kofi Nyarko	University of Cape Coast	Ghana

<- Work Package 4 ———————————————— Work Package 6 ->