Work Package 5

To produce an integrated assessment tool to assess adaptation and migration in deltas

WP Lead: University of Southampton, Robert Nicholls & Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Munsur Rahman

WP5 will develop methods to assess adaptation choices in deltas with a strong focus on migration. It will integrate the results of WP2, WP3 & WP4 to analyse and provide assessment methods and modelling tools (for policy analysis in WP6) which consider the bio-physical, economic and socio-economic drivers of migration, the potential migration fluxes of men and women, potential trapped populations. It will also assess the success of other autonomous and planned adaptation processes and decisions (WP6), and how this influences migration choices. As such these integrated assessment methods can be utilised to conceptualise and investigate potential future migration of men and women under climate change and other factors, including a range of adaptation policy choices. This will support better analysis of adaptation choices in deltas. In particular, WP5 offers two main innovations: i) The development of an integrated assessment and model approach valid across a range of deltas; and ii) Inter-comparison between and across the selected deltas to identify generic and bespoke characteristics of deltas, which can be linked to the transferability of the research to other deltas.

Work Tasks:

5.1 A preliminary conceptual framework for assessing adaptation and migration in deltas

5.2 Finalised conceptual framework for assessing adaptation and migration in deltas

5.3 Design and validate a prototype integrated assessment tool for adaptation and migration in deltas

5.4 Develop delta-specific integrated assessment tools

5.5 Generic lessons for integrated modelling and adaptation and migration analysis

<- Work Package 4 ———————————————— Work Package 6 ->

WP5 Staff:

Name Institute Country
Prof. Robert Nicholls University of Southampton Northern (UK)
Dr. Attila Lazar University of Southampton Northern (UK)
Andres Payo University of Southampton Northern (UK)
Dr. Sugata Hazra Jadavpur University India
Dr. Anirban Mukhopadhyay Jadavpur University India
Professor Md. Munsur Rahman BUET Bangladesh
Prof. Mashfiques Salehin BUET Bangladesh
Prof. Rezaur Rahman BUET Bangladesh
Prof. Anisul Haque BUET Bangladesh
Dr. Barnabas Amisigo Water Research Institute Ghana
Prof. Samuel Nii Ardey Codjoe University of Ghana Ghana
Dr. Cynthia Addoquaye Tagoe University of Ghana Ghana
Prof. Ofori-Danson Patrick Kwabena University of Ghana Ghana
Dr. Kwasi Appeaning Addo University of Ghana Ghana
Mrs. Francisca Martey Ghana Meteorological Agency Ghana
Dr. Prince Osei-Wusu Adjei Kwame Nkrumah University of Science & Technology (KNUST) Ghana
Dr. Joseph Kwadwo Asenso Ministry of Finance Ghana
Dr. Benjamin Kofi Nyarko University of Cape Coast Ghana

<- Work Package 4 ———————————————— Work Package 6 ->