{"id":299,"date":"2017-02-02T10:34:02","date_gmt":"2017-02-02T10:34:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/?p=299"},"modified":"2017-09-01T11:21:31","modified_gmt":"2017-09-01T10:21:31","slug":"interview-with-deccma5th-poster-winner-gregory-cooper","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/2017\/02\/02\/interview-with-deccma5th-poster-winner-gregory-cooper\/","title":{"rendered":"Interview with #DECCMA5th Poster Winner – Gregory Cooper"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Poster<\/a>

Greg Cooper poster<\/p><\/div>\n

Gregory Cooper, PhD student at the University of Southampton, won the Poster Competition at DECCMA’s 5th Consortium Workshop in Kolkata (Aug 2016). Here he is interviewed.<\/p>\n

show more<\/p>

<\/p>\n

1. Why did you choose the topic for the poster?<\/p>\n

This poster relates to the wider topic of my PhD, which focuses on exploring social-ecological tipping points and nonlinearities in delta systems. The Chilika lagoon of the Mahanadi delta, India, captured my interest due to its historical productivity collapse from 7200 tonnes\/year (1980s average) to 3100 tonnes\/year (1990s average), triggering declined fisher wellbeing, livelihood opportunities and the first recorded instances of economic migration from the region. Therefore, this poster communicates progress (September 2016) on the development of a systems dynamics model of Chilika\u2019s fishery, to assess the causes and probabilities of future productivity collapses. The model\u2019s structure and parameters show how the different components of the system fit together. The small section on model performance analysis argues that the model is capable of reproducing historical fishery trends. Thirdly, initial findings show that the model is producing realistic and policy relevant outputs, which may eventually inform the future governance of Chilika\u2019s fishery.<\/p>\n

2. What data sources have you used for the analysis?<\/p>\n

The construction of the model has relied on a combination of quantitative and qualitative data, from a mix of primary and secondary sources:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • The rainfall-runoff models of the Lower Mahanadi and Chilika\u2019s western catchments are built from daily resolution rainfall and temperature datasets from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). Daily river discharge from Tikarapara on the Lower Mahanadi catchment is obtained from the Indian Central Water Commission\u2019s \u2018Water Resource Information System of India\u2019.<\/li>\n
  • Ecohydrological monitoring datasets of the Chilika Development Authority (CDA) parameterise interactions between freshwater inflows to Chilika and lagoonal salinity, dissolved oxygen, temperature and aquatic vegetation coverage.<\/li>\n
  • CDA datasets also inform the model\u2019s socioeconomic components, including estimations of fisher populations, boat numbers, fish price, fishing costs, catch per unit effort and so on.<\/li>\n
  • Interviews were conducted with Chilika\u2019s stakeholders and experts to understand any qualitative feedbacks driving Chilika\u2019s fishery catch. For example, Chilika\u2019s fishers spoke of how they adapt fishing efforts to their perceptions of fish stock abundance, in an attempt to protect against overexploitation of Chilika\u2019s resource. Moreover, interviews with Chilika\u2019s scientists and governors have helped consider feasible management approaches to model, such as the necessity of continued sediment dredging and the difficulties of implementing productivity quotas.<\/li>\n
  • With the exception of the hydroclimatic datasets, all data was obtained during the field visit of February-April 2016. I express gratitude to the CDA, Integrated Coastal Zone Management Project of Odisha and Jadavpur University for their kind assistance during my visit.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    3. What\u2019s the significance of your conclusions?<\/p>\n

    The model\u2019s outputs have two main significances:<\/p>\n

      \n
    • Although known since the lagoon\u2019s ecorestoration in 2000, outputs support the argument that Chilika\u2019s sediment requires periodic flushing to sustain fish catches. Without reopening, the lagoon\u2019s main tidal outlet effectively closes by 2040, inhibiting the seasonal migration of 70% of Chilika\u2019s marine and brackish species.<\/li>\n
    • Outputs also show that higher annual catches do not necessarily mean higher income for Chilika\u2019s fishers. Fish catch may decline beyond 2060 as fishers pursue alternative livelihoods, but per capita income is higher than it would otherwise be under a future without alternative livelihoods. By guarding against anthropogenic overexploitation, such falling catches promote the multidecadal sustainability of Chilika\u2019s fish stock for future generations of fishers.
      \nFurther work aims to assess how alternative governance approaches can enhance Chilika\u2019s sustainability under a spectrum of plausible futures, before investigating critical driver thresholds leading to collapse, to design a \u201cregional safe and just operating space\u201d for Chilika.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      show less<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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Neque porro quisquam est, qui dolorem ipsum quia dolor sit amet, consectetur, adipisci velit, sed quia non numquam eius modi tempora incidunt ut labore et dolore magnam aliquam quaerat voluptatem.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2288,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":true,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[39,21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-299","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-feature","category-mahanadi"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8jyTh-4P","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":366,"url":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/2015\/03\/27\/deccma-phd-seminar-29-april-2015-university-of-southampton\/","url_meta":{"origin":299,"position":0},"title":"DECCMA PhD Seminar, 29 April 2015, University of Southampton","author":"Lucy Graves","date":"27th March 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"A crucial element of DECCMA has been the establishment of post graduate research groups across the project partners with a substantial and vibrant group based here at the University of Southampton. The School of Geography and the Environment, with the support of other faculties hosts 6 of these students and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Conferences & meetings"","block_context":{"text":"Conferences & meetings","link":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/category\/conferences-meetings\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"phd seminar 1","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/181\/2017\/03\/phd-seminar-1-194x300.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":309,"url":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/2016\/07\/15\/video-out-migration-and-effects-on-women-in-the-mahanadi-delta\/","url_meta":{"origin":299,"position":1},"title":"Out-migration and effects on women in the Mahanadi delta","author":"Lucy Graves","date":"15th July 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=1_BrguwadoE DECCMA is committed to providing policy support to develop sustainable, gender-sensitive adaptations within deltaic environments. Taking a gender-sensitive approach to the research process, and ensuring that data can be analysed with a gender lens, are integral to achieving this aim. Awareness of the importance of gender has increased as\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Delta"","block_context":{"text":"Delta","link":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/category\/delta\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/1_BrguwadoE\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":2343,"url":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/2018\/07\/09\/new-insights-on-climate-change-migration-and-adaptation-in-the-mahanadi-and-indian-bengal-deltas\/","url_meta":{"origin":299,"position":2},"title":"New insights on climate change, migration and adaptation in the Mahanadi and Indian Bengal deltas","author":"katharinevincent","date":"9th July 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"by Sumana Banerjee DECCMA has released two new briefs that outline the latest findings on climate change, migration and adaptation in the Mahanadi and Indian Bengal deltas. Among the highlights are the relationship of migration to climate stress (with most stressed locations sending more migrants in both deltas), the barriers\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Delta"","block_context":{"text":"Delta","link":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/category\/delta\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/181\/2018\/06\/IBD-208x300.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":360,"url":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/2015\/05\/06\/report-deccma-phd-seminar-29-april\/","url_meta":{"origin":299,"position":3},"title":"DECCMA PhD Seminar, 29 April","author":"Lucy Graves","date":"6th May 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"As part of DECCMA, a group of postgraduate research students has been established across the project partners. 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Abstract: The term\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Conferences & meetings"","block_context":{"text":"Conferences & meetings","link":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/category\/conferences-meetings\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"poster competition winner","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/181\/2017\/03\/poster-competition-winner-300x212.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":2191,"url":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/2018\/03\/20\/we-need-to-give-our-citizens-a-safe-place-to-stay-how-government-is-relocating-coastal-communities-affected-by-loss-of-land-in-the-mahanadi-delta-india\/","url_meta":{"origin":299,"position":5},"title":"“We need to give our citizens a safe place to stay” How government is relocating coastal communities affected by loss of land in the Mahanadi delta, India","author":"katharinevincent","date":"20th March 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"by Sumana Banerjee, Sumanta Banerjee, Dr R N Samal and Dr Tuhin Ghosh Separated by thousands of miles but united by a common environmental fate, like the Pacific island nation of Kiribati which is facing the risk of being engulfed by rising seas, the Satavaya Gram Panchayat within India\u2019s Mahanadi\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Delta"","block_context":{"text":"Delta","link":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/category\/delta\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/181\/2018\/03\/encroaching-sands-300x169.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/299","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2288"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=299"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/299\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1320,"href":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/299\/revisions\/1320"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=299"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=299"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/generic.wordpress.soton.ac.uk\/deccma\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=299"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}